Biotechnology
Future of BioSciences; The
Four Scenarios for 2020 and Their Implications for Human Healthcare
| Publication Date | June 2006 |
| Publisher | Decision Strategies International |
| Product Type | Book |
| Pages | 132 |
| ISBN Number | not applicable |
| Product Code | DSI00001 |
Summary
In the coming years, the convergence of genomics, proteomics, stem cell research, regenerative medicine, bioinformatics, nanotechnology and other life science technologies will pose significant opportunities and challenges in every sector of society. Two years ago, the William and Phyllis Mack Center for Technological Innovation, part of the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, and Decision Strategies International, Inc. (DSI) embarked on an ambitious program to lay out a range of reasonable futures for biosciences. Based on numerous workshops at the Mack Center and individual interviews with over 50 leading experts from academia, government and the private sector, the report represents a truly unique undertaking. This report presents four scenarios that describe how emerging life science technologies might impact human healthcare between now and 2020. Major trends and uncertainties are identified, as well as key stakeholder groups expected to play a significant role in shaping the future. Our long-term goal is to provide decision makers in various industries with strategic insights needed to develop, commercialize and deploy emerging life science technologies.Contents
Part I: Introduction
Chapter 1: Assessing The Future Of Biosciences
Defining the Biosciences SpaceThe Scenario Planning Approach
Chapter 2: Biosciences Today
The Remarkable March of TechnologyNanotechnology and Bioinformatics
Industry and Technology Convergence
The Current Pharma Business Model
Developed vs. Developing Markets
Promises and Pitfalls
Part II: Four Scenarios For The Future Of Biosciences
Chapter 3: Scenario A - Where's The Beef?
Scenario A: How We Got HereThemes in Scenario A: The World We Live In
Scenario A: How We Live In This World
Chapter 4: Scenario B - New Age Of Medicine
Scenario B: How We Got HereThemes in Scenario B: The World We Live In
Scenario B: How We Live In This World
Chapter 5: Scenario C - Bio Gridlock
Scenario C: How We Got HereThemes in Scenario C: The World We Live In
Scenario C: How We Live In This World
Chapter 6: Scenario D - Science Held Hostage
Scenario D: How We Got HereThemes in Scenario D: The World We Live In
Scenario D: How We Live In This World
Part III: Next Steps
Chapter 7: Profiting From Uncertainty
Building a Strategic FrameworkLessons for Managing Emerging Technologies
Organizational Strategies for Innovation
In Conclusion
Appendices
I. Drivers Of Change
Long Term TrendsKey Uncertainties
The Role of Stakeholders
II. System Dynamic Modeling
The Basic ModelSimulation
Technical Notes and Equations







